According to R L Polk and Co, the number of vehicles scrapped as a percentage of
vehicles on the road has declined for the fourth consecutive year. The percentage of
total vehicles scrapped in the US in 2004 was only 5.6 percent, the lowest figure since
1993. Passenger car scrappage rate was 4.8 percent in 2004, the lowest number since
1948. Truck scrappage rate fell to 6.0 percent, down from the 7.7 percent reported in
2003.
The median age of passenger cars increased to 8.9 years in 2004, marking an all-time
high. Median age for trucks fell to 6.6 years, dropping from the 6.7 reported in 2003,
due mainly to a record 9.8 million new truck registrations in 2004.
"Since vehicles are lasting longer, and new light truck registrations remain around
nine million per year, we will see a noticeable change in the proportions of cars versus
light trucks in the near future," said Polk product manager Marty Miller.
Passenger cars made up 59 percent of total vehicles in operation in 2004, while light
trucks accounted for 41 percent. Polk predicts percentage of cars will decrease to 54
percent by 2009, while light trucks will increase to 46 percent.
|
Vehicle Scrappage Rate
|
|
Year
|
Cars |
Trucks* |
All Vehicles |
|
1970
|
9.5%
|
5.0%
|
8.7%
|
|
1980
|
8.1%
|
5.0%
|
7.4%
|
|
1990
|
7.2%
|
4.1%
|
6.3%
|
|
1995
|
6.1%
|
4.4%
|
5.5%
|
|
2000
|
6.4%
|
7.5%
|
6.8%
|
|
2001
|
6.0%
|
7.6%
|
6.6%
|
|
2002
|
5.6%
|
7.0%
|
6.1%
|
|
2003
|
5.2%
|
7.7%
|
5.5%
|
|
2004
|
4.8%
|
6.0%
|
5.3%
|
*GVW 1 - 8
Source: R L Polk and Co
|
|
|
Median Age of US Vehicles (Year)
|
|
Year
|
Cars |
Light Trucks* |
All Trucks** |
|
1995
|
7.7%
|
7.4%
|
7.6%
|
|
1996
|
7.9%
|
7.5%
|
7.6%
|
|
1997
|
8.1%
|
7.4%
|
7.6%
|
|
1998
|
8.3%
|
7.1%
|
7.6%
|
|
1999
|
8.65
|
6.7%
|
7.2%
|
|
2000
|
8.3%
|
6.3%
|
6.9%
|
|
2001
|
8.3%
|
6.3%
|
6.8%
|
|
2002
|
8.4%
|
6.5%
|
6.8%
|
|
2003
|
8.6%
|
6.6%
|
6.7%
|
|
2004
|
8.9%
|
6.4%
|
6.6%
|
*GVW 1 - 3 **GVW 1 - 8
Source: R L Polk and Co
|
|